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STATISTICAL METHODS AND ESTIMATIONS

Theory (100)

INTRODUCTION

Nature and importance of statistics, descriptive and inferential statistics, population & samples, Random variables, The Bionomial Distribution, Poisson Approximation to the Bionomial distribution, Statents 't' Distribution, Chi-square Distribution.

DATA ORGANIZATION

Frequency distribution and graphs.

DESCRIPTIVE MEASURES

Measures of central tendency, measures of dispersions, application.

PROBABILITY

Introduction to probability, counting techniques, dependent and independent events, conditional probability, additive rule of probability and its applications. Contingency tables, joint and marginal probabilities, the multiplication rule, Baye’s theorem, applications.

PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

Concept of random variable, Discrete probability distribution, Case study. Continuous probability distribution with examples, Probability density function, Joint probability distribution, Examples, Mean of a random variable. Variance of a random variable. Binomial distribution. Mean and variance of Binomial distribution. Examples, Poisson distribution, Normal distribution, area under the normal curve, Standard Normal distribution, inverse use of table of areas under the normal curves, applications.

CURVE FITTING BY LEAST SQUARES METHOD

Goodness of fit, fitting a straight, parabola and higher degree curves.

REGRESSION & CORRELATION

Regression analysis by least squares method, testing the signification of b, simple correlation analysis, coefficient of correlation & coefficient of determination, testing the significance of r.

SAMPLING DISTRIBUTION

Sampling distribution of means with replacement and without replacement. Central Limit theorem, examples.

TESTS OF HYPOTHESIS

Testing a Statistical Hypothesis, Type I & II error, One tailed and Two tailed tests, tests concerning means and variances, testing the difference between two means. Good-ness of Fit test, test of independence, applications.

ESTIMATION OF PARAMETERS

Confidence interval of one population mean, estimating a population mean, estimating the difference between two population means. The Chi - square distribution, estimating a population standard deviation. The F distribution, estimating the ratio of two variances, applications.

TIME SERIES

The essence of time series analysis in business, measurement of trend (T), measurement of seasonal variations (S), measurement of cyclical variations (C), random variation (R), Applications.

RECOMMENDED BOOKS

[1] Ronald Walpole , “Introductory Statistics”

[2] Sher Muhammad Choudary , “Statistics vol. I & II”

[3] Iqbal Bhatti, “Elements of Statistics”

 

 

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